Table 14. Logistic Regression Analysis of Supreme Court Decisions on First Amendment Cases, 1954-1988
(Only Justices Who Participated in Brandenburg)
Predictor		Before and After Brandenburg		Before Brandenburg Only		After Brandenburg Only
Attitudes of Justices		-1.90	***	-1.49	**	-3.91	***
		(0.53)		(0.70)		(1.20)
Brandenburg		-2.36	***
		(0.60)
Political Speech		-2.63	***			8.49
		(0.83)				(53.86)
DOCTRINE
	Likely and Imminent Risk of Lawless Action	1.31	*	-7.22		-12.59
		(0.75)		(27.34)		(336.65)
	Not an Issue	-0.39		0.01		-10.92
		(0.49)		(0.56)		(299.66)
SETTING
	Public forum	-0.64		-9.17		-6.82
		(0.90)		(27.36)		(199.20)
	Semi-public forum	0.77		1.23		3.69
		(0.93)		(1.41)		(2.82)
	Not an Issue	0.78		0.73		2.72
		(1.02)		(1.58)		(2.24)
GOVERNMENT
	Federal	0.91		-9.95		2.75
		(0.74)		(27.33)		(191.78)
	State	-0.76		-9.92		12.64
		(0.62)		(27.35)		(199.22)
	School or University	-2.62	**	-19.73		[no cases]
		(1.26)		(54.64)
	No Government	2.06	**	1.94	*	[no cases]
		(0.89)		(1.02)
SPEAKER
	Communist	-1.88	**	-9.42		19.79
		(0.78)		(27.32)		(107.76)
	Racial Minority	-1.99	***	-9.67		-0.40
		(0.68)		(27.31)		(1.75)
	Other	-0.82		-17.74		22.31
		(0.78)		(48.41)		(107.76)
Constant		5.10	***	18.48		-12.58
		(1.62)		(54.63)		(373.95)
Chi square		76.76	***	55.14	***	48.48	***
		(15 d.f.)		(13 d.f.)		(12 d.f.)
R-squared		0.25		0.26		0.55
% Correctly Predicted		80.78		78.05		92.31
% Reduction in Error		35.80		38.99		58.83
	N	255		164		91
Chow Test Chi Square				57.41***
				(13 d.f.)
*	significant at p<.10
**	significant at p<..05
***	significant at p<.01

Last Updated on 4/12/1998
By Bert Kritzer