Date of Origination:  08/06/95
Collected by: Michele Claibourn, Paul Martin
Last modification: 8/08/95 by Paul Martin
                   9/25/95 by PSM

Description:  These are a data taken from the appendix to Forcasting
Elections.  They contain a number of election related data from which
forcasts can be made for US House, Senate, Presidency, State
Legislatures and Governorships.

Source:  Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Tom W. Rice (1992) Forcasting
Elections.  Washington, D.C.:  CQ Press.  Appendix.

Number of observations: 22

Variables: There are 26 variables in the data file.
1.  year "Election Year"
2.  inc_elec "Incumbant share of Electoral College (%)"
3.  gnp "GNP change from fourth quarter to second quarter"
4.  pp "Presidential Popularity"
5.  hs_loss "House incumbent party loss"
6.  primary "Vote for incumbent party nominee (%)"
7.  sen_change "Senate incumbent party change"
8.  hs_change "House incumbent party change"
9.  gov_change "Governorships incumbent party change"
10. sl_change "State legislature partisan change"
11. income4_2 "Change in real disposable personal income from the
    fourth quarter of the previous year to the second quarter of  the
    election year"
12. income1_2 "Change in real disposable personal income from the
    first quarter to the second quarter of  the election year"
13. income2_2  "Change in real disposable personal income from the
    second quarter of the previous year to the second quarter of  the
    election year"
14. gnp4_2 gnp "GNP change from fourth quarter of the previous year
    to second quarter of the election  year"
15. gnp1_2 gnp "GNP change from first quarter to second quarter of
    the election year"
16. gnp2_2 gnp "GNP change from second quarter of the previous year
    to second quarter of the election year"
17. ppjuly  "Presidential popularity in July prior to the election"
18. ppjune  "Presidential popularity in June prior to the election"
19. housex  "Number of House seats incumbent party has exposed"
20. senatex  "Number of Senate seats incumbent party has exposed"
21. govx "Number of gubenatorial seats incumbent party has exposed"
22. type "0=Midterm; 1 = presidiential"
23. party "Party of president, 0=Reps; 1=Dems"
24. whtime "Time in White House"
25. govterm "Length of term, 0 for elections 1948-1972; 1 for all
    elections after 1974."
26. redist "1=year of redistricting, 0=year without redistricting